The Harrow Technology Report

  http://www.TheHarrowGroup.com

Insight, analysis, and commentary on the 
innovations and trends of contemporary computing, 
and on its growing number of related technologies.

An ongoing journey towards understanding, 
and profiting from, a world of exponential 
technological growth!

Copyright © 2001-2005, Jeffrey R. Harrow.  All rights reserved.
Email: Jeff@TheHarrowGroup.com

 

Special Report --

"Nanotechnology Now" Interview -
Jeff Harrow on Nanotechnology.


August, 2003
  



"Nanotechnology Now" magazine recently interviewed twelve people (including myself) who are involved with the emerging world of nanotechnology.  They've now published the results of the interviews in Issue 2 of their "NanoNews" newsletter.  All twelve of the participants' responses are available in that publication, which you can find through http://www.nanotech-now.com/newsletter/ .  Issue 2 specifically is available at no cost as part of their free trial subscription.

The participants include (with partial affiliations shown here):

  • Sen. George Allen, U.S. Senator (R.-Va.)
  • Morten Bogedal, CEO, Nordic Nanotech
  • A.S. Daar, Professor of Public Health Sciences and of Surgery, University of Toronto
  • Neil Gordon, Partner, Nanotechnology, with Sygertech
  • Tim Harper, Founder & President, CMP Cientifica
  • Jeffrey Harrow, Principal and Technologist, The Harrow Group
  • Lerwen Liu, President, ABACUS Partners
  • Cathy Murphy, Guy F. Lipscomb Professor of Chemistry, Univ. of S. Carolina
  • Vic Pena, Co-founder & CEO, nanoTitan Inc.
  • Ottilia Saxl, Ion European Board & Founding Director, The Institute of Nanotechnology
  • Bo Varga, Principal and Strategic Consultant, The Strategic Synergy Group
  • Dennis Wilson, Chief Technology Officer, Chairman of the Board, and Founder, Nanotechnologies, Inc.
  • However, if you don't wish to register on their site, you'll find the questions plus my answers (one-twelfth of the content) below, in this "Harrow Technology Report" Special Report.

    The following twelve interview questions were developed by "Nanotechnology Now" Editor Rocky Rawstern, Chris Phoenix of the Center for Responsible Nanotechnology (CRN), and Tim Harper of Científica.

     


    Where Do We Stand
    With Nanoscale Technologies?

     
    'Nanotech Now':   From your point of view, what is nanotechnology?

    Jeff Harrow:   Nanotechnology is, as strictly defined by many, dealing with, studying, manipulating or otherwise interacting with matter below the size of 100 nanometers (billionths of a meter.) Less strictly, it's all about our learning from, and learning to deal with, the world of very tiny things which might be more broadly interpreted as things smaller than a micron (1,000 nanometers). But definitions aside, nanotechnology is about drastically shrinking the "tinker toys" we play with. Imagine building the 47 million transistors in a typical CPU chip, with your original Lego set -- even if the blocks were appropriately semi-conductive, it wouldn't work because the resulting size would be too big, introducing unacceptable speed-of-light delays to the signals. Yet today, working with far smaller "Legos," 47 million transistors in a thumbnail-sized patch of silicon that works quite well is routine.

    As we shrink the "Legos" much further though, we find that the way that each Lego works, and how it interacts with other similarly-nano-sized Legos, changes dramatically (quantum physics). Also, as we learn to better understand and work with these ever-tinier building blocks, we're going to be blurring many of the "lines" we've historically drawn between individual "sciences," and even the lines between things living and dead. To me, it's this vast landscape of the unknown, and of the possible, that defines the promise of nanotechnology.


    Why are you involved with nanotechnology? What are your long-term goals for your area or field?

    Jeff Harrow:   I'm involved with nanotechnology because I see it as one of the basic "change the rules" inflection points in our evolution, on a par with the harnessing of electricity, oil, and semiconductors. The bottom line is that as we learn more about, and get better working with nanotechnology, we'll begin building things from the "ground-up" as Nature does, rather than from the "top-down" as our past and present manufacturing methods do (grinding, polishing, etc.) And at the level of building things atom by atom, or molecule by molecule, there may eventually be NO difference between how Nature builds things, and how we do. Which is both scary and tremendously powerful, at the same time. One of my goals is to help people (not just the "techies") understand the elements of nanotechnology at the "ground floor" level, so that we can all be prepared to engage in the many important nanotechnology dialogs surrounding safety, opportunities, and more. Also, with this knowledge, people will be better-poised to make intelligent and forward-looking decisions about how they, and their businesses, can prosper in this "changing of the rules."


    What is your vision regarding the changes that nanotechnology will bring to society?

    Jeff Harrow:   Taken to its extreme, the entire value chain of our society, built around the relative scarcity of, and difficulty of producing "manufactured goods," could change. Imagine if we end up with "desktop manufactures" -- devices conceptually like an inkjet printer that, instead of building up layers of ink, build layers of atoms or molecules in exactly the correct 3D structures to produce a piece of silverware, or a working cell phone (of the latest design, of course, through licensing the "schematic" from the developer and downloading it over the Internet), or -- and here's where it gets really scary -- a living thing. "Intellectual property," rather than manufactured goods, might prevail, which would dramatically change our societies. (And, we'd better learn the "Napster" lesson, or there will be little long-term "product innovation"). 

    This is an extreme vision, of course, and less dramatic advances may simply yield vastly more efficient machines (building at this atomic/molecular level is FAR more precise, and probably energy-efficient, than manufacturing the old way), vastly improved building materials, and improbable inventions based on our growing understanding of just how differently things work at the nanoscale. And, it seems increasingly likely that we'll be able to (eventually) manufacture tiny machines that could course through our bodies to target infections, root-out plaque from arteries, or even perform inside-out surgery.

    The bottom line is we can only barely imagine the changes to come -- imagine if you were around at the introduction of electricity, the telephone, or gasoline -- could you have predicted what each (and in combination) have wrought? Flying machines; humans on the Moon; pocket cell phones; even air conditioning for the masses...

    In fact, you WERE around only about ten years ago as the World Wide Web gained popularity and dramatically changed how many businesses operate. Few saw the potential. Yet the potential from nanotechnology could make those historical watersheds seem as a drop in the lake...


    How can government and educational institutions address the need for significantly larger numbers of nano-educated college grads?

    Jeff Harrow:   Until nanotechnology assumes the popular mantles once held by the computer and software industries, it may take incentives to get schools to teach the technologies widely, and to convince students that this could be a key to a golden future. On the other hand, once nanotechnology DOES become well known, the educational institutions had best get ready for the rush! (Indeed, the tools of this realm-of-the-tiny are already becoming affordable by secondary schools (or their districts), such as an Atomic Force Microscope being sold by NanoSurf for about $8,000! (http://www.nanosurf.ch/).


    Given that most people do not have advanced science training, how can they participate in the debate over advanced technologies? What, if anything, are you planning to do to educate or enable public debate in these areas?

    Jeff Harrow:   The only way to effectively participate in the important debates revolving around nanotechnology is to become educated about the field. This does NOT require a technical degree or any math or science skills, or the interest and ability to understand exactly "how it works" (although clearly some people will have those skills and knowledge.) But because nanotechnology does seem poised to "change everything," an open mind -- MANY open minds from domains technical and not -- are needed to assure that the hard questions are looked into, and that the public debate encompasses not only scientific issues, but also the very real and significant public policy issues that our learning to work like "Nature," demands.

    Like many fields of study before it, but perhaps even more so, nanotechnology holds the potential for great good, and for great harm. Only by EACH of us becoming knowledgeable, in the areas and to the extent we're individually interested and able, can we assure that we'll end up in a society that we can, quite literally, live with.

    In my particular case, that's exactly why I've been educating a broad spectrum of people about the coming nanotechnology revolution through my online technology journal, "The Harrow Technology Report" at www.TheHarrowGroup.com , and through a series of interactive multimedia consulting presentations that I bring to businesses and organizations, large and small, around the globe (see http://www.theharrowgroup.com/consulting.htm).


    Given that any technology poses some degree of risk to people and the environment, what do we need to do in order to avoid serious and unexpected harm arising from nanotechnology?

    Jeff Harrow:   Broad public understanding and knowledge, as we explored in the previous question, is paramount. It is this 'public openness' that will enable people to "hold the scientists' feet to the fire," so that they are accountable for not inappropriately letting this nanotech cat out of the bag. Several authors, such as Michael Creighton through "Prey," are providing some needed "scare tactics" to help average people understand the possible threats from this new world-of-the-tiny (although remember, such fiction novels are not necessarily factual as they strive to make an important point.) But threats are a real potential (although they won't have to follow those threats dealt with in fiction), and such threats must be dealt with in-advance!

    On the other hand, these threats are NOT a reason to try to halt the scientific process (such censorship simply does not work in a global society, anyway.) Indeed, there are many sciences and their resulting technologies that "pose some degree of risk to people and the environment." The trick for nanotechnology, as with all fields, is to pursue the research with appropriate technological and societal cautions and safeguards.


    Several leading researchers have predicted an unprecedented rapid development of extremely powerful technologies, and been proven correct. And the trend continues, upward. In your opinion, does this require the development of new ethics and/or regulations?

    Jeff Harrow:   That's an interesting question, because it seems that societal ethics and regulation always lag, sometimes dramatically, the technologies that seem to follow a double-accelerating curve of advancement (not only do some technologies' capabilities double continuously, but the RATE at which they double is itself doubling.) Yet humans, and by extension their societies and laws, tend to grow at a more linear, "plodding" rate. Nevertheless, societies' ethics and regulations DO respond to new developments. Not perfectly; not always "in time," but we (so far) have been pretty good about self-preservation.

    The same, I believe, will occur with those changes needed to embrace nanotechnology. The more people know about this field, the more they will develop an ethic that encompasses the changes that nanotechnology will bring, and the better our legislators will be prepared to enact those regulations necessary to instantiate the new ethic. Think of the evolution of traffic laws and the resulting cultural changes. (For example, drunk driving, once seen by many in society as a "norm," has recently been accepted as the killer that it is. This changed society's once-light ethic towards such activities, led in part through public awareness brought about by organizations such as Mothers Against Drunk Driving.)

    Similarly, our ethics and regulations will (have to) change to incorporate nanotechnology's new realities.


    What risks do you expect from future nanotechnologies, including molecular manufacturing? What, if anything, are you planning to do to address public concerns about issues such as gray goo?

    Jeff Harrow:   Since nanotechnology is in its infancy, it's difficult-to-impossible to realistically define the threats that might develop. On the one hand, it's easy to conceive of the "gray goo" scenario, where nano-assemblers, devices that grab raw atoms or molecules and manufacture them into more nano-assemblers who then go off and do the same, might get out of hand and rape the environment to create a geometrically expanding "gray goo" of run-amok nano-assemblers. In part, it's the public debate that we explored above that will help scientists to consider ways to guard against such threats.

    On the other hand, for a science so new and with such potential to affect things at their most basic level, I can conceive that new, previously unanticipated threats at all levels will become possible as we turn over each new nano-leaf. We'll never foresee them all, just as Madam Curie never imagined the harm that radium could cause (including her death), or as in the 1950s, shoe stores proudly announced how they used fluoroscopes to XRAY childrens' feet to assure a good shoe fit.

    Damage was caused, but we learned. Society mourned the damages, but we moved forward. With nanotechnology, as with most every other field, damage will also be done (but hopefully in very limited areas due to the knowledge, oversight, and ethics we've been discussing), and we will learn. Thus has it always been so. Pragmatically, risk is part of the game, although we should (must) do everything practically possible to minimize the risks without killing the nanotech Golden Goose.


    How can the benefits of new technology, including nanotechnology, be made available to all people, not just an elite?

    Jeff Harrow:   Pragmatically, it seems to me that most new technologies have traditionally first been available to "the rich" or "elite" of a society. The products of new technologies, be they metal tools, the finest of swords, the first cars, and leading-edge experimental drugs, are often initially so expensive that those folks are the only ones able to afford them.

    But one of the advantages of many of the technologies that we deal with today is how quickly they become inexpensive and so affordable by the many. Take computers, for an example -- today, they're affordable by most families in developed countries, while they were a very expensive luxury only a decade ago. I anticipate a similar trend in products derived from nanotechnology, especially since it's already begun! (Consider one of the first common nanotechnology products, the accelerometers in cars that help determine when the airbag deploys; they and their related systems were initially very expensive, but are now commonplace in even inexpensive cars.) I suspect that the fruits of nanotechnology will follow a similar curve.


    By necessity, government plays a role in many aspects of our lives. What role do you see government playing in the development of nanoscale technologies?

    Jeff Harrow:   Government often holds the purse strings to encourage expensive research. As such, (and it is already beginning), government holds the power to get nanotechnology research off the ground and out into the marketplace. Admittedly, this is often a result of the government's desire to have the fruits of the research available for the military or other government programs, but many past government-fostered research programs have also yielded very direct benefit to the populous as well. Consider the old standby Teflon, or the GPS network, or in fact the Internet...

    The trick, of course, is for the government to be able to encourage and fund such research, and standardize on effective safety protocols, without bureaucratically killing the necessary innovation. That's a hard and often very frustrating process, but it has yielded some fascinating results to date...


    What role can nanoscale technologies play in any given country’s growth within the global economy?

    Jeff Harrow:   I suspect that nanotechnology, over the long term, will confer an unprecedented "competitive advantage" to those countries who first master the related technologies. So much so that being the first country to successfully develop the fruits of nanotechnology could tip the traditional international trade balance. It's that fundamental, and that significant. To take just one example, consider the economic position of a country that had developed safe and effective nanomachines that could be injected into the body and target and destroy only cancer cells. Or the ability to create perfect gem-quality diamonds 'from the bottom-up'. Or the ability to perfectly copy and reproduce raw materials or manufactured goods that "used" to be the major export of a country... The list could be endless, when considering the potential to do things Nature's way, and it behooves every country to pay attention.


    If you could sit down with the leaders of every country and talk to them about the development of nanotechnology, what issues would you focus on?

    Jeff Harrow:   Safety, safety, and safety. And within those boundaries, moving nanotechnology forward as quickly as feasible. And of trying to prepare for sane ways of introducing the resultant technologies and products in ways that don't destructively destabilize the world scene.

    Nanotechnology holds the power for incredible good, and for incredible harm. Even more so than the atomic bomb. Let's be sure that we all -- ALL of us -- do it "right!"

     

    Jeffrey R. Harrow

     


     About "The Harrow Technology Report

     

    "The Harrow Technology Report" explores the innovations and trends of many contemporary and emerging technologies, and then draws some less than obvious connections between them, to help us each survive and prosper in the Knowledge Age. 

    "The Harrow Technology Report" is brought to you by Jeffrey R. Harrow, Principal of The Harrow Group. http://www.TheHarrowGroup.com .

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